ITIF-气候技术值得关注：清洁钢铁（英）-2023-WN6.pdf

itif.org Climate-Tech to Watch:Clean Steel HANNAH BOYLES|JUNE 2023 Lower carbon steel is vital to the energy transition.Its a long journey to decarbonize steel,and with competition being fierce,supportive RD&D and trade policies will be vital to success.KEY TAKEAWAYS Iron and steel production makes up 810 percent of total global emissions,the largest single industrial source of traded emissions.There are several established technologies for reducing emissions from the steel sector and also promising nascent pathways that could drastically reduce GHG emissions from the steelmaking process.Most pathways for reducing the carbon intensity of steel production are not yet widely commercially deployed;however,several pilot projects are trialing carbon capture on existing production methods as well as innovative lower carbon production methods.New production processes and technologies come at a significant premium compared with existing methods.These technologies will need to become cost competitive with traditional steel production methods to become widely adopted.The United States is a leader in lower GHG-emitting production processes for steel.Still,support for newer production pathways that dramatically reduce sectoral emissions is needed through supportive RD&D and trade policies.群内每日免费分享5份+最新资料 群内每日免费分享5份+最新资料 300T网盘资源+4040万份行业报告为您的创业、职场、商业、投资、亲子、网赚、艺术、健身、心理、个人成长 全面赋能！添加微信，备注“入群”立刻免费领取 立刻免费领取 200套知识地图+最新研报收钱文案、增长黑客、产品运营、品牌企划、营销战略、办公软件、会计财务、广告设计、摄影修图、视频剪辑、直播带货、电商运营、投资理财、汽车房产、餐饮烹饪、职场经验、演讲口才、风水命理、心理思维、恋爱情趣、美妆护肤、健身瘦身、格斗搏击、漫画手绘、声乐训练、自媒体打造、效率软件工具、游戏影音扫码先加好友，以备不时之需扫码先加好友，以备不时之需行业报告/思维导图/电子书/资讯情报行业报告/思维导图/电子书/资讯情报致终身学习者社群致终身学习者社群关注公众号获取更多资料关注公众号获取更多资料INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY&INNOVATION FOUNDATION|JUNE 2023 PAGE 2 CONTENTS Key Takeaways.1 What Is Net-Zero Steel and Why Is It Important?.2 Clean Steels Role in the Energy Transition.2 Pathways for Steel Production.3 Decarbonization Pathways.3 Global Progress.4 Progress in the United States.5 Key Policy Issues.5 Looking Forward.7 Endnotes.8 WHAT IS NET-ZERO STEEL AND WHY IS IT IMPORTANT?Steel is an indispensable material of modern life that is essential to many industries including transportation,construction,and energy.Net-zero steel serves all the same functions as conventional steel but with no net greenhouse gas(GHG)emissions.Due to the complexity of the steel industry,there is unlikely to be a single global decarbonization technology pathway;however,a combination of energy efficiency investments;electrification;carbon capture and storage(CCS);and low-emissions steelmaking technologies offer promising pathways toward decarbonizing the industry.To accelerate innovation,bring down costs,and reduce GHG emissions,governments need to implement federal and private innovation policies along with supportive regulatory and trade policies.CLEAN STEELS ROLE IN THE ENERGY TRANSITION Steel is critically important to achieving the broad decarbonization of global energy systems,buildings,manufacturing,and transportation.Steel production by itself is also responsible for a rising share of global carbon dioxide(CO2)emissions.Every tonne of steel produced creates an average of 1.9 tonnes of CO2 emissions,and the industry as a whole is responsible for between 7 and 9 percent of global CO2 emissions.1 If the global steel industry were a country,it would rank third in the world for CO2 emissions.2 Demand for steel is expected to rise,driven in part by increased demand for wind turbines,solar arrays,electric vehicles,and other clean energy solutions.Global steel demand today is 1,985 million tonnes,with China producing almost 55 percent followed by India,Japan,and the United States.Over the past 50 years,production has tripled.3 The International Energy Agency(IEA)projects that global demand for steel will grow by more than a third through 2050.4 Industries will need global net-zero solutions to meet this increase in demand while simultaneously reducing emissions.INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY&INNOVATION FOUNDATION|JUNE 2023 PAGE 3 PATHWAYS FOR STEEL PRODUCTION There are three primary methods for steel production:1.Blast furnace-blast oxygen furnace(BF-BOF)steel production is a process by which raw iron ore alongside a carbon source(primarily coal or natural gas),limestone,and a small percentage of steel scraps are converted into primary steel using large amounts of energy.Iron is smelted in a high-temperature blast furnace and limestone is fed into the BF to remove impurities.The molten iron,or pig iron,is then fed into a BOF along with steel scrap metal,where it is blasted with oxygen to further remove impurities.2.Electric arc furnaces(EAFs)melt scrap steel using an electric current alongside added alloys.The liquid steel can then be cast into secondary shapes and formed into final steel products.5 3.Direct reduced iron(DRI)can substitute for the primary liquid steel in an EAF.It is produced by the reduction of iron ore using a reduction gas.The reduction gascalled“syngas,”which is a mixture of hydrogen(H2)and carbon monoxide(CO)is typically made from natural gas or coal but can be replaced with low carbon hydrogen.After both the BF-BOF and EAF process are complete,the hot steel can be shaped and finished into long products such as rebar,flat products such as steel sheets and slabs,or specialized steel products through the addition of alloys,including stainless steel and high-grade aviation and automotive steel.Finally,these products are finished and shipped,either via barge,shipping container,rail,or truck to construction worksites,factories that use steel as an input,or some other post-manufacturing processing.Steel produced using the EAF pathway is less carbon intensive due to lower energy requirements.However,globally,the BF-BOF pathway is much more prevalent,accounting for over 70 percent of global production capacity.6 DECARBONIZATION PATHWAYS There are several commercially proven technologies that can contribute to reducing the carbon footprint of U.S.steel production such as increased renewable energy for EAF production and energy efficiency measures.As the electric grid becomes less carbon intensive due to the increased use of renewable energy,the emissions associated with EAF steel products will continue to decline.There are also remaining energy efficiency improvements at the plant level that remain untapped.Steel plants could also continue to invest in improved onsite energy management systems that rely on integrated sensors,5G telecommunications,machine learning,predictive maintenance,and smart manufacturing principles to further improve energy efficiency.Technologies that currently exist at bench and pilot-scale demonstration sizes may provide promising pathways toward further decarbonizing existing steel production.The most promising full decarbonization pathway is the use of low-carbon hydrogen as a reductant alongside the DRI-EAF process(DRI-H2).This pathway combines the already commercially established DRI process,using low-carbon hydrogen,rather than natural gas,and the EAF process.Another potential technology pathway is carbon capture,utilization,and storage(CCUS)technology,which can be retrofitted onto existing or new BF-BOF and DRI plants.CCUS works by INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY&INNOVATION FOUNDATION|JUNE 2023 PAGE 4 capturing CO2 from smokestacks,sequestering it,and transporting it either to long-term storage or to be reused.The result is a low-emissions steel product.7 Direct iron electrolysis is still in the early stages of development but has the potential to fully decarbonize the steelmaking process if carbon-free electricity is used.Several routes have been tested at lab scales,including high-temperature molten oxide electrolysis and low-temperature aqueous electrowinning.8 Both processes involve using electrolysis to extract iron from ore.Figure 1:Pathways for lower carbon steel production Steel is an inherently carbon-based product,so stripping out carbon entirely is either highly cost inefficient or not technically feasible depending on the technology pathway.Even if industry can effectively implement the decarbonization pathways described above,the sector will likely have residual emissions that will require offsets or carbon-negative technologies such as direct air capture,ecosystem preservation,or other ecological approaches.GLOBAL PROGRESS Most pathways for reducing the carbon intensity of steel production are not yet widely commercially deployed.The Hydrogen Breakthrough Ironmaking Technology(HYBRIT)facility in Lule,Sweden,a joint-venture partnership between Swedish steel produced SSAB,Swedish iron INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY&INNOVATION FOUNDATION|JUNE 2023 PAGE 5 ore producer LKAB,and Swedish electric power producer Vattenfall,is the first large-scale demonstration facility to use the DRI-H2 process.Several other global steel firms have announced plans to pilot and deploy commercial scale DRI-H2 facilities,with a combined total production capacity of approximately 20 million tonnes and at least$50 billion in committed capital.9 The first and only fully operational CCS-DRI steel plant is the 3.2-million-tonne Al Reyadah facility in Abu Dhabi,capable of capturing 800,000 tonnes of CO2 annually from natural gas.The captured CO2 is then used in a nearby enhanced oil recovery gas field.10 Two integrated global steel producers,US Steel and ArcelorMittal,have announced CCS steel projects,located in France,Norway,Belgium,and the Ohio River Valley in the United States.Yet,scale,scope,and projected completion date data remains sketchy,with few details beyond the initial project announcement.11 The more nascent direct iron electrolysis pathway has several research and development(R&D)projects globally.Siderwin,an EU-funded project,is working on a low-temperature aqueous solution with commercial scalability by mid-decade.12 If successful,the technology has the potential to dramatically reduce total emissions from virgin steel productionon the order of 95 percent or more.PROGRESS IN THE UNITED STATES Steel production in the United States is already less carbon intensive than for its global competitors,with between 75 and 320 percent fewer carbon emissions than the global average,depending on the production pathway.13 The United States has taken several steps with recent legislation to invest in low-emitting steel production pathways and spur uptake and private sector investment in new technologies.The 2022 Inflation Reduction Act(IRA)includes$5.8 billion for the Advanced Industrial Facilities deployment Program,which funds innovative industrial carbon reduction technologies particularly in hard-to-abate sectors such as steel.The IRA and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act provide further incentives for related technologies such as CCS and low-carbon hydrogen.The United States is just beginning to implement newer,more-transformative decarbonization technologies in the steel sector.The Department of Energys(DOEs)Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management announced a$1.5 million grant for Cleveland Cliffs to design an industrial-scale CCS system for a BF-BOF steelmaking process.14 And Boston Metals,which has developed a molten iron electrolysis platform for replacing fossil fuels used in the steelmaking process with renewable electricity,has plans to scale its early-stage technology by mid-decade.15 KEY POLICY ISSUES Emerging technology pathways for producing clean steel face significant challenges and require additional federal and private research,development,and demonstration(RD&D)spending,alongside broader regulatory and infrastructure support to facilitate growth in renewables,hydrogen,and CO2 pipelines.One of the most significant barriers is the high additional cost associated with net-zero carbon steel.Current average virgin steel prices produced via BF-BOF facilities range from$450 to$600 per tonne,depending on the location and product.IEA reports that all current technology INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY&INNOVATION FOUNDATION|JUNE 2023 PAGE 6 pathways that are likely to significantly reduce sectoral emissions are between 10 to 50 percent more expensive than current production processesa significant cost premium for a globally traded commodity product.16 Federal policy should focus on continued RD&D that results in deployable innovations that bring costs down and provide price parity with traditional steel technologies.The DRI-H2 pathway requires cheap and accessible access to low-emitting hydrogen,which is currently two to three times more expensive than traditional carbon-intensive hydrogen.Recent federal legislation such as incentives for CCUS and green hydrogen included in the IRA will help drive the deployment of these technologies with benefits to net zero.Breakthrough Energy found that the tax incentives authorized in the IRA could,in some cases,make net-zero steel cost competitive with incumbent technologies.17 Also,the Steel Upgrading Partnerships and Emissions Reduction(SUPER)Act,which was included in the CHIPS and Science Act of 2022,authorizes DOE to establish its first R&D program for advanced,low-emission steel technology.18 Assuming the program gets funded,it could help accelerate the commercialization of technologies that are crucial to decarbonizing the steel industry.Figure 2:Retrofitting BF-BOF plants with CCUS(45Q sequestration credit:$50$85/t CO2e)19$0$50$100$150$200$250$300$350$400$450$500Pre-IRA CostIRA CreditIRA Net ImpactCCS CostFuelOther OpexCapexRaw Material$430$115$315(Traditional BF-BOF cost:$360/t CS)INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY&INNOVATION FOUNDATION|JUNE 2023 PAGE 7 Figure 3:Using green H2 as fuel for DRI-EAF(45V green hydrogen production credit:$31/kg H2)20 Finally,nations are becoming increasingly aware of the need for supportive regulatory and trade policies to address competitiveness in emission-intensive,globally traded industries.Countries pursuing costly domestic efforts to reduce emissions fear that other nations will take advantage of industries such as steel that face a carbon cost by exporting lower cost,higher carbon steel into that country,or that manufacturers will move to countries without such carbon emissions penalties.One proposed solution is the European Unions carbon border adjustment mechanism(CBAM),which would impose a carbon price on industrial imports comparable to the carbon price faced by domestic producers.21 The United States is considering an alternative policy based on the relatively low-carbon intensity of domestically produced steel that would impose a tariff on imported products that emit more than the equivalent U.S.-made product.22 LOOKING FORWARD In order to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050,technology pathways that dramatically reduce emissions from the steel sector must be implemented at scale.These technologies will need to become cost competitive with traditional steel production methods.Recent federal and private policies and investments and supportive trade proposals aim to spur innovation and deployment of the