农业展望袁2023袁19渊7冤院18-23.AgriculturalOutlook收稿日期院基金项目院联系方式院2023-07-13研究系2023年现代农业产业技术体系北京市创新团队项目支持内容渊BAIC11-2023-10冤王增飞袁E-mail院work0218@163.com2023年上半年北京市蔬菜市场形势与后期展望王增飞袁王晓东袁赵安平袁张琳袁韩冰袁杨唯佳渊北京市数字农业农村促进中心北京100083冤摘要院2023年上半年袁北京市蔬菜供应总体充足袁价格相对稳定遥与往年价格季节性下降规律大体相同袁但6月由于蔬菜茬口衔接不畅袁市场供应阶段性紧张袁导致叶类蔬菜价格出现明显反弹遥上半年叶类蔬菜价格波动明显袁茄果类蔬菜价格波动运行袁耐储类蔬菜价格运行平稳遥分品种来看袁生姜价格自2022年底以来一路攀升袁野姜你军冶现象再次出现曰菠菜价格季节性下降规律明显袁但异常天气对价格影响较大曰番茄由于供应较多袁价格低位波动运行遥基于北京市54种蔬菜价格的历史数据分析认为蔬菜产能和供应关系是影响蔬菜价格波动的主因袁异常天气对蔬菜价格有明显影响袁重要节假日对蔬菜价格有短暂影响遥基于此袁建议提前预测蔬菜市场供需情况和价格走势袁强化异常天气预报预警袁优化种植结构袁促进产销对接袁做好北京市蔬菜市场的供应遥关键词院蔬菜市场曰价格变化曰供求关系曰异常天气开放科学渊资源服务冤标识码渊OSID冤院VegetableMarketSituationinBeijingintheFirstHalfof2023andItsFutureProspectWangZengfei,WangXiaodong,ZhaoAnping,ZhangLin,HanBing,YangWeijia渊BeijingDigitalAgricultureandRuralPromotionCenter,Beijing100083冤Inthefirsthalfof2023,theoverallsupplyofvegetablesinBeijingwassufficient,andpricewasrelativelystable.Theseasonaldeclinepatternofpriceisgenerallysameasinpreviousyears,butinJune,duetothepoorconnectionbetweenvegetablecropsandthetensemarketsupply,thepriceofleafyvegetablesshowedasignificantrebound.Inthefirsthalfoftheyear,thepriceofleafyvegetablesfluctuatedsignificantly,whilethoseofeggplantandfruitvegetablesfluctuatedandremainedstable.Fromavarietyperspective,sincetheendoflastyear,thepriceofgingerhasbeenrisingalltheway;theseasonaldeclinepatternofspinachpriceisobvious,butabnormalweatherhasasignificantimpactonprice;tomatoesareoperatingatlowpriceduetohighsupplythisyear.Basedontheanalysisofhistoricaldataonthepriceof54types...
