研究与开发一种基于耦合网络的RD-IHSAT网络谣言传播模型韩一士，徐雨欣，卢甜甜（浙江警察学院，浙江杭州310053）摘要：为探究谣言在社交网络中的传播规律，基于耦合原理，构建由巴拉巴西-阿尔伯特（Barabási-Albert，BA）无标度网络与瓦茨-斯特罗加茨（Watts-Strogatz，WS）小世界网络组成的沉默者、辟谣者、无知者、犹豫者、传谣者、铁杆传谣者、疲惫者（reticent，debunker，ignorant，hesitated，spreader，adherent，tired，RD-IHSAT）谣言传播模型。该模型在易感者、感染者、移出者（susceptible，infective，removal，SIR）模型的基础上引入兴趣衰弱机制、感知社会共识机制、沉默与反沉默的螺旋等因素，并融入犹豫者、铁杆传谣者、沉默者、辟谣者等角色，使其更加逼近真实情形。仿真结果显示，耦合网络极大地促进了谣言的传播，不仅加快谣言爆发速度，而且扩大谣言传播规模；提高对犹豫者的辟谣概率能够极为显著地抑制谣言规模，是控制谣言传播的最有力因素；仅降低谣言传播率对谣言控制作用较小；提高沉默群体的比例是遏制谣言传播的关键一环；对辟谣时滞的把控极大地影响了辟谣效果。关键词：谣言传播；耦合网络；兴趣衰弱；社会共识；沉默的螺旋；RD-IHSAT模型中图分类号：TP391.9文献标志码：Adoi:10.11959/j.issn.1000-0801.2023023AmodelofRD-IHSATrumordisseminationbasedoncouplingnetworkHANYishi,XUYuxin,LUTiantianZhejiangPoliceCollege,Hangzhou310053,ChinaAbstract:Toexplorethespreadofrumorsinsocialnetwork,basedontheprinciplesofcouplingnetwork,themodelofRD-IHSATwasestablishedonBarabási-Albert(BA)scalefreenetworkandWatts-Strogatz(WS)smallworldnetwork.TheclassicmodelofSIRwasoptimized,bycombiningitwiththreeconcerns,theinterestdecay,thesocialconsensusandthespiralofsilenceeffect,andaddingfourroles,hesitated,adherent,reticentanddebunker.Resultsofnumericalsimulationsareasfollows:aninformationoutbreakcanbetriggeredbycouplingnetwork,notonlythespreadingspeedbutthescaleaswell;thedisseminationcanbemarkedlysuppressedwhentheprobabilityofru-mor-refutingforthehesitatedandspreadersarises;thechancesoftransitionfromspreaderstoadherentsdrop;in-creasingtheproportionofsilentgroupsisakeypartofcurbingthespreadofrumors;thecontrolofthetimelaginrefutingrumorswillgreatlyaffe...
