DOI:10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2022118对外直接投资对我国碳排放的影响−基于多重中介效应模型的分析缪东玲，杨娜，李巧，程宝栋(北京林业大学经济管理学院)摘要：中国的碳排放具有显著的产业与空间集中性，对外直接投资会改变要素配置、影响高排放产业与高排放区域布局。中国持续扩大的对外直接投资是否促进了本国碳减排？首先，对对外直接投资影响母国碳排量的经济规模、产业结构、技术水平3个主要途径进行理论推导和分析，提出待检验的假说。其次，选取我国2005−2019年省际面板数据，建立多重中介效应模型，实证检验对外直接投资对我国碳排放影响的3种效应和综合效应，发现对外直接投资通过经济规模和技术水平中介机制，不同程度地加剧我国碳排放，通过产业结构中介机制会抑制我国碳排放；经济规模和技术水平效应大于产业结构效应，故对外直接投资最终会加剧我国碳排放。最后，基于结论提出相关建议。关键词：对外直接投资；碳排放；中介模型中图分类号：F326.23;X24文献标志码：A文章编号：1671-6116(2023)-02-0007-09TheImpactofOFDIonChina'sCarbonEmissions:AnAnalysisBasedonMultipleMediationEffectModelsMiaoDongling，YangNa，LiQiao，ChengBaodong(SchoolofEconomicsandManagement,BeijingForestryUniversity,100083,P.R.China)Abstract:China'scarbonemissionshavesignificantindustrialandspatialconcentration.OutwardForeigndirectinvestment(OFDI)willchangefactorallocationandaffectthelayoutofhighemissionindustriesandregions.DoesthecontinuousexpansionofOFDIpromoteChina'scarbonemissionreduction?Inthispaper,thethreemainwaysofOFDIaffectingthecarbonemissionofthehomecountryarefirstanalyzed,namely,theeconomicscale,industrialstructureandtechnicallevel,andthehypothesestobetestedareproposed.Secondly,selectingChina'sinterprovincialpaneldatain2005−2019,throughmultiplemediationeffectmodels,empiricallytestingthethreeeffectsandcomprehensiveeffectsofOFDIonChina'scarbonemission.ItisfoundthatOFDIexacerbatesthecarbonemissionofthehomecountrytovaryingdegreesthroughtheeconomicscaleandtechnicallevelintermediarymechanism,andthecarbonemissionofthehomecountryissuppressedthroughtheindustrialstructureintermediarymechanism;theeconomicscaleandtechnicalleveleffectaregreaterthanthein...
