摘要：以大连市水资源承载力为研究对象，通过建立PSR模型，构建“压力—状态—响应”共16项指标体系，采用熵权法确定指标权重，对“十三五”期间大连市水资源承载力进行评价。结果表明：大连市水资源承载力压力类指标所占权重最大，16项指标中大型企业取水量权重最大；新冠疫情对压力类指标影响明显，对状态类指标影响较小，对响应类指标几乎没有影响；大连市水资源承载力在“十三五”期间除2020年下降明显外，整体呈上升趋势。根据分析结果，提出建议：丰富水资源相关统计数据可以更好地评价水资源承载力；通过改善权重较大的指标状况，可以有效提高大连市水资源承载力；继续加强水污染防治工作，延续水资源承载力逐年上升趋势。关键词：PSR模型；熵权法；水资源承载力Abstract：ThepapertakesDalian'swaterresourcescarryingcapacityastheresearchobject，constructsa16-itemindexsystemof“Pressure-State-Response”byestablishingPSRmodel，andusestheentropyweightmethodtodeterminetheindexweight，toevaluateDalian'swaterresourcescarryingcapacityduringthe13thfive-yearplanperiod.Theresultsshowthat:thepressureindexofwaterresourcescarryingcapacityinDalianhasthelargestweight，andthewaterintakeoflargescaleenterpriseshasthelargestweightamongthe16indexes；theCovid-19pandemichadobviousinfluenceontheindexesofstress，littleinfluenceontheindexesofstate，andalmostnoinfluenceontheindexesofresponse；duringthe13thfive-yearplanperiod，Dalian'swatercarryingcapacityshowedanupwardtrend，exceptforasignificantdeclinein2020.Basedontheanalysisresults，somesuggestionsareputforward:toenrichtherelatedstatisticaldataofwaterresourcescanbetterevaluatethewaterresourcescarryingcapacity；toimprovethestatusofindicatorswithhighweights，thewaterresourcescarryingcapacityofDaliancanbeeffectivelyincreased；continuetostrengthenthepreventionandcontrolofwaterpollutionandmaintainthetrendofincreasingwaterresourcescarryingcapacityyearbyyear.Keywords：PSRmodel；entropymethod；waterresourcescarryingcapacity中图分类号：X52文献标识码：A文章编号：1674－1021（2023）05－0064-051引言大连市位于辽东半岛最南端，濒临黄海与渤海。大连市虽然三面环海，拥有大小河流152条，但人均水资源量仅为57...
