提要：城市收缩是当前中国快速城镇化进程中的一个新事物，给传统基于“增长情景模拟”的城市规划范式带来了极大的冲击与挑战。该文据此围绕基本公共服务均等化，选取我国收缩城市最集中的东北三省，就其收缩效应及其内在作用机理展开实证分析。结果表明：①基本公共服务均等化水平整体呈上升趋势、但整体水平较低且空间分异明显；②15个收缩城市呈现出明显的基本服务均等化收缩效应，并表征出明显的阶段性、类型性和空间分布特征；③基本公共服务均等化评价是一个基于总量与人均指标、“存量”与“变量”指标综合权衡的结果产物，内在逻辑遵循“发展要素‘外流’→发展机会被空间剥夺→地方财政税收锐减→地方政府基本公共服务供给水平受限”的演化规律，而且这是一个互为因果的耦合过程。关键词关键词：基本公共服务均等化；收缩城市；城市收缩效应；东北三省中图分类号中图分类号：F127文献标识码文献标识码：A东北三省收缩城市的基本公共服务均等化收缩效应与机理解析刘菊，孙平军（西南大学地理科学学院，重庆400715）RESEARCHONTHESHRINKINGEFFECTANDMECHANISMOFBASICPUBLICRESEARCHONTHESHRINKINGEFFECTANDMECHANISMOFBASICPUBLICSERVICEEQUALIZATIONINSHRINKINGCITIESOFTHREEPROVINCESINSERVICEEQUALIZATIONINSHRINKINGCITIESOFTHREEPROVINCESINNORTHEASTCHINANORTHEASTCHINALIUJu,SUNPing-jun(SchoolofGeographicalSciences,SouthwestUniversity,Chongqing400715,China)AbstractAbstract:UrbanshrinkageisanewphenomenoninthecurrentprocessofrapidurbanizationinChina.Whetheritwillhaveanimpactontheimplementationofthe"people-oriented"newurbanizationstrategyandtheimplementationofnationallandandspaceplanning,andhowtorespond,hasbecomeakeyscientificis‐suetoberesolvedasapriorityintheimplementationofhigh-qualitydevelopmentatthenationalandlocallevelsinthenewera.Basedonthis,thispaperselectsthreeprovincesinNortheastChinawithtypicalurbanshrinkagephenomenonandthemostconcentratedshrinkingcitiesonthecoretopicofequalizationofbasicpublicservices,andcarriesoutthediagnosisofshrinkingcityeffectandtheempiricalverificationofdevel‐opmentstage,shrinkagetypeandspatialdistribution.Theresultsshowthat:1)The15shrinkingcitiesinnortheastChinashowanobviousshrinkingeffectofbasicpublicserviceequalizat...
