电力系统及其自动化学报ProceedingsoftheCSU-EPSA第35卷第2期2023年2月Vol.35No.2Feb.2023基于供需匹配度的风光储套餐定价策略谢琳1，冯天波2，李梁1，王炜韬1，赵健1（1.上海电力大学电气工程学院，上海200090；2.国网上海市电力公司信息通信公司，上海200122）摘要：为提升售电商参与未来零售市场竞争的收益，提出基于供需匹配度的风、光、储套餐定价策略。首先，面向上级能源供应商构建套餐度电成本模型，实现购电成本测算；然后，构建负荷转移率与电价差的需求响应不确定性模型，得到以电价为自变量的用户电量拟合函数；其次，引入电费支出满意度和用电方式满意度指标以保证售电商提供的套餐尽量满足用户用能需求，来构建基于供需匹配度的套餐选择概率模型；最后，以售电商购、售电净利润最大为目标函数，优化求解各套餐分时电价。仿真结果表明了所提定价策略的有效性及合理性。关键词：供电套餐；需求响应；供需匹配度；度电成本；套餐定价中图分类号：TM73文献标志码：A文章编号：1003-8930（2023）02-0112-09DOI：10.19635/j.cnki.csu-epsa.001005PricingStrategyforWind-PV-StoragePackageBasedonMatchingDegreeofSupplyandDemandXIELin1，FENGTianbo2，LILiang1，WANGWeitao1，ZHAOJian1（1.SchoolofElectricalEngineering，ShanghaiUniversityofElectricPower，Shanghai200090，China；2.InformationandCommunicationCompany，StateGridShanghaiMunicipalElectricPowerCompany，Shanghai200122，China）Abstract:Apricingstrategyforwind-PV-storagepackagebasedonthematchingdegreeofsupplyanddemandispro⁃posedtoimprovetherevenueofe-sellersparticipatinginthefutureretailmarketcompetition.Aimedatthesuperioren⁃ergysupplier，amodelofunitcostofelectricityforthepackageisconstructed，andthecalculationofpowerpurchasecostisrealized.Ademandresponseuncertaintymodelofloadtransferrateandelectricitypricedifferenceisconstruct⁃ed，andtheuserelectricityfittingfunctionwiththeelectricitypriceasanindependentvariableisobtained.Toensurethatthepowersupplypackageprovidedbye-sellerscanmeettheenergydemandofusersasmuchaspossible，thepricesatisfactionandpowercomfortindexesareintroduced，andapackageselectionprobabilitymodelbasedonthematch⁃ingdegreeofsupplyanddemandisconstructed.Finally，thetime-o...
