基金项目:国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFB1503103_01)收稿日期:2021-04-29修回日期:2021-07-23第40卷第2期计算机仿真2023年2月文章编号:1006-9348(2023)02-0102-06多能互补微网系统仿真及经济性评价邵志芳,吴继兰,宋亦心心(上海财经大学信息管理与工程学院,上海200433)摘要:为研究多能互补微网系统经济性,建立多能互补微网系统运营仿真模型。模型基于AnyLogic平台,综合利用流程仿真和多智能体仿真技术,动态模拟微网运行过程并对运营中可能出现的设备故障、维护、更新、技术进步等情景进行细致刻画。通过输入风速、光照、用户负荷等数据,模型可动态显示微网20年运行情况。运行结果包括系统年度数据和经济性评价数据,如项目净现值、社会效益、各项设备利用率、能源短缺率、微网系统弃电率等。在北方某地的算例中,仿真结果显示项目可以获得良好的经济性;存在技术进步的情况下,系统效率进一步提升,可获得更高净现值。关键词:多能互补微网;多智能体仿真;运营分析;经济性评价中图分类号:N945.13文献标识码:BSimulationandEconomicEvaluationofMulti-energyComplementaryMicro-GridSystemSHAOZhi-fang,WUJi-lan,SONGYi-xinxin(SchoolofInformationManagement&Engineering,ShanghaiUniversityofFinanceandEconomics,Shanghai,200433)ABSTRACT:Ansimulationmodelisestablishedtostudytheeconomyofmulti-energycomplementarymicro-gridsystem.BasedontheAnyLogicplatform,themodelcomprehensivelyusesprocesssimulationandmulti-agentbasedsimulationtechnologytosimulatetheoperationofthemicro-gridsystemin20years.Equipmentfailure,maintenance,update,andtechnologicalprogresscanalsobesimulatedinthemodel.Byinputtingthedatasuchaswindspeed,illu-minationanduserload,themodelcanrunanddisplaytheoperationstatusofthemicro-gridsystem.Theoutputsin-volveannualdataandeconomicevaluation,suchasnetpresentvalue,socialbenefits,equipmentutilization,energyshortagerate,curtailmentrateandsoon.Intheexampleofacertainplaceinthenorth,thesimulationresultsshowthattheprojectcanobtaingoodeconomicperformance.Withthedevelopmentoftechnology,thesystemefficiencywillbeimprovedfurther,andahighernetpresentvaluecanbeobtained.KEYWORDS:Multi-energycomplementarymicro-grid;Multi...