国内大循环下农业区域分工、增加值收益及分解_刘希兰.pdf

24农村金融研究February 2023 Agricultural Economy 农业经济 农业经济 农业经济 农业经济 农业经济 农业经济 农业经济 农业经济 农业经济 农业经济 农业经济 农业经济 农业经济 J.农村金融研究，2021（9）：15-21.3黄群慧.新发展格局的理论逻辑、战略内涵与政策体系基于经济现代化的视角J.经济研究，2021，56（4）：4-23.4高培勇.构建新发展格局：在统筹发展和安全中前行J.经济研究，2021，56（3）：4-13.5江小涓，孟丽君.内循环为主、外循环赋能与更高水平双循环国际经验与中国实践J.管理世界，2021，37（1）：1-19.6钟钰，甘林针，崔奇峰.农业“双循环”战略思路与系统性对策J.新疆师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版)，2021，42（6）：113-123.7何亚莉，杨肃昌.“双循环”场景下农业产业链韧性锻铸研究J.农业经济问题，2021（10）：78-89.8邓远建，汤彪，屈志光.农业经济“双循环”新发展格局的内在逻辑与实现路径J.西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版)，2022，22（1）：106-114.9黎峰.国内国际双循环：理论框架与中国实践J.财经研究，2021，47（4）：4-18.10黄群慧，倪红福.中国经济国内国际双循环的测度分析兼论新发展格局的本质特征J.管理世界，2021，37（12）：40-58.11陈全润，许健，夏炎，季康先.国内国际双循环的测度方法及我国双循环格局演变趋势分析J.中国管理科学，2022，30（1）：12-19.12Pol Antrs,Davin Chor,Thibault Fally,Russell Hillberry.Measuring the Upstreamness of Production and Trade FlowsJ.The American Economic Review.2012(3)：412-416.13倪红福.全球价值链中产业“微笑曲线”存在吗?基于增加值平均传递步长方法J.数量经济技术经济研究，2016，33（11）：111-126，161.14黎峰.中国国内价值链是怎样形成的?J.数量经济技术经济研究，2016，33（9）：76-94.15黎峰.双重价值链嵌入下的中国省级区域角色一个综合理论分析框架J.中国工业经济，2020（1）：136-154.16潘文卿.中国国家价值链:区域关联特征与增加值收益变化J.统计研究，2018，35（6）：18-30.17余丽丽，彭水军.国内价值链分工位置、增加值收益及产业链分解J.经济科学，2021（3）：96-107.18汤碧，常月.中国农业价值链地位测度与发展研究基于亚太区域的分析J.农业经济问题，2019（10）：50-62.19秦国庆，朱玉春.“一带一路”倡议的农业价值链关联效应基于Eora26跨国投入产出数据的双重差分检验J.上海财经大学学报，2020，22（6）：79-94.20周南南，于文洁.新发展格局下中国农业全球价值链位置测度与提升研究J.世界农业，2021（12）：58-71.21邸玉娜，刘艺萌，曹粲然.价值链视角下的中国农业供给侧结构性改革研究J.世界农业，2018（5）：84-91.22Ye M,Meng B,Wei S J.Measuring Smile Curves in Global Value ChainsR.IDE Discussion Papers,2015.23Wang Z,Wei S J,Yu X,Zhu K.Characterizing Global Value Chains:Production Length and UpstreamnessR.NBER Working Papers,2017.24Zheng H,Zhang Z,Wei W,Song M,Dietzenbacher E,Wang X,Meng J,Shan Y,Ou J,Guan D.Regional Determinants of Chinas Consumption-based Emissions in the Economic TransitionJ.Environmental Research Letters,2020,15(7):1-14.Agricultural Regional Division of Labor,Value-added Income and Decomposition Under the Domestic Economic CycleLIU Xi-lan ZHOU Min-liangAbstract:Based on the multi-regional input-output model of Chinas provincial level,the relationship between regional division and added value of agriculture in China was discussed.At the same time,the path and regional and departmental characteristics leading to the realization of agricultural added value were investigated from the perspective of demand-supply.The main conclusions are as follows:(1)During the study period,the upstream degree of agriculture is positively correlated with the value-added of agricultural production,and the downstream degree is positively correlated with the value-added of agricultural consumption.Agricultural production activities that aim to meet the demand of final products in other areas are important factors in determining the upstream degree of agriculture,and the complexity of agricultural intermediate product input affects the downstream degree of agriculture to some extent.(2)The realization of agricultural added value in every province mainly depends on pure intra-regional circulation.The proportion of pure intra-regional circulation in some provinces exceeds 90%.The proportion of complex extra-regional circulation is higher than that of simple extra-regional circulation mode.The proportion of external circulation mode is relatively small among the four circulation modes,since that number in most provinces is lower than 20%.(3)In the pattern of extra-regional circulation,production areas caused by demand transformed from provinces like Henan,Jiangsu,Hebei,to neighboring regions or other large agricultural provinces.The main demand sector is agricultural,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery products and services,food and tobacco and so on,and there is a trend to shift to non-agricultural sectors such as construction sector.Key Words:Agricultural Regional Division of Labor;Domestic Economic Cycle;Agricultural Value-added Income;Multi-regional Input-output Model