基于分位数回归的山东省阳谷县农户收入影响因素研究_侯瑛璞.pdf

分类号：F323学号：201900353008专专 业业 学学 位位 硕硕 士士 论论 文文基于分位数回归的山东省阳谷县农户收入影响因素基于分位数回归的山东省阳谷县农户收入影响因素研究研究Study of Factors Influencing Farmers Income inYanggu County,Shandong Province Based on QuantileRegression研 究 生 姓 名研 究 生 姓 名：侯瑛璞侯瑛璞指指 导导 教教 师：师：王少瑾王少瑾专业学位类型专业学位类型：农业硕士农业硕士专业学位领域：专业学位领域：农业管理农业管理论文提交日期论文提交日期：20202 22 2 年年 1212 月月 3131 日日烟台大学学位论文原创性声明和使用授权说明烟台大学学位论文原创性声明和使用授权说明原创性声明原创性声明本人郑重声明：所呈交的学位论文，是本人在导师的指导下，独立进行研究工作所取得的成果。除文中已经注明引用的内容外，本论文不含任何其他个人或集体已经发表或撰写过的作品或成果。对本文的研究作出重要贡献的个人和集体，均已在文中以明确方式标明。本声明的法律结果由本人承担。论文作者签名：日期：2022 年 12 月 31 日学位论文使用授权说明学位论文使用授权说明本人完全了解烟台大学关于收集、保存、使用学位论文的规定，即：按照学校要求提交学位论文的印刷本和电子版本；学校有权保存学位论文的印刷本和电子版，并提供目录检索与阅览服务；学校可以采用影印、缩印、数字化或其它复制手段保存论文；在非保密的论文范围内，学校可以公布论文的部分或全部内容。（保密论文在解密后遵守此规定）论文作者签名：日期：2022 年 12 月 31 日指导教师签名：日期：2022 年 12 月 31 日I摘 要近年来推行乡村振兴战略，中央一直将处理好“三农”问题作为工作的首要任务。“三农”问题的核心内容就是农村居民的增收问题，通过政府出台的各项方针政策也反映出政府对农民收入问题的重视，因此探索如何不断提高农户的收入具有重要现实意义。现有文献对于农户收入影响因素的研究大多集中于全国范围或省份，以统计年鉴面板数据为基础进行分析，其中以县域农户为研究对象并进行实地抽样调研的研究成果较少；大多数学者对于农户收入影响因素的研究，逐渐由单一因素分析向多因素分析转变，但以县域不同收入水平农户为研究对象的并不多见。基于上述现实背景和研究现状，本文以阳谷县为区域样本，主要运用文献研究法、调查法和实证分析法，从调查县域内农户家庭的人力资本、物质资本和社会资本视角分析农户收入，并深层次分析农户收入的影响因素。基于实地调查解读 2021年阳谷县农户收入问卷调查数据，剖析样本农户的个体信息差异，并通过 STATA 数据分析软件，运用明瑟收入方程和半对数回归模型，解析影响阳谷县农民家庭人均纯收入、人均农业收入和人均非农业收入的各种因素。研究发现：家庭劳动力平均受教育年限、家庭赡养负担、接受技能训练人口比重、耕地面积、农业投资总额、是否有村干部、家庭交通通信费用、是否加入农业合作社、户主年龄、户主身体状况、户主年均劳动天数等对农户收入具有显著影响。通过建立分位数回归模型研究人力资本、物质资本和社会资本等对各个不同分位点农户收入产生的影响。研究结果显示：户主年龄、健康状况、政治面貌等特征以及人力资本数量对较低收入水平农户影响更大；家庭物质资本、社会资本和借贷情况对中等收入水平和较高收入水平的农户家庭尤其是中等收入水平家庭的收入产生更大的影响。最后通过对阳谷县农户家庭收入影响因素的研究，为阳谷县提升整体收入水平，增加其农户家庭收入提出相应的对策建议，比如完善农村教育体系，推进乡村基础设施建设，促进农户就近就业创业；缩小城乡差距，多渠道助力农户增收等，从而进一步巩固脱贫成果，提高脱贫质量。关键词：农户收入；人力资本；物质资本；社会资本；分位数回归IIAbstractIn recent years,the central government has been promoting the strategy of ruralrevitalization,and the three rural issues have been the top priority of the work.The coreof the three rural issues is the income increase of rural residents,and the governmentsemphasis on the income of farmers is reflected by the various policies issued by thegovernment,so it is important to explore how to continuously improve the income offarmers.Most of the studies on the factors influencing farmers income in the existingliterature are focused on the national scale or provinces,and the analysis is based on thepanel data of statistical yearbook,among which there are fewer research results that takecounty farmers as the research object and conduct field sampling research;most scholarsresearch on the factors influencing farmers income gradually changes from single-factoranalysis to multi-factor analysis,but the research object takes farmers with differentincome levels in the county as the research object However,it is not common to studyfarmers with different income levels in the county.Based on the above realistic background and current research situation,this paperanalyzes the income of farm households from the perspectives of human capital,physicalcapital and social capital of farm households in the surveyed counties and analyzes theinfluencing factors of farm households income at a deeper level,taking Yanggu County asthe regional sample and mainly using literature research method,survey method andempirical analysis method.Based on the field survey to interpret the questionnaire surveydata of farm household income in Yanggu County in 2021,we analyzed the individualinformation differences of the sample farm households,and used Mincers incomeequation and semi-logarithmic regression model through STATA data analysis software toanalyze the various factors affecting the per capita net income,per capita agriculturalincome and per capita non-agricultural income of farm households in Yanggu County.Itwas found that the average years of education of household labor force,household supportburden,the proportion of population receiving skill training,arable land area,totalagricultural investment,the presence of village cadres,household transportation andcommunication costs,membershipin agriculturalcooperatives,andthe relevantIIIcharacteristics of household heads had significant effects on farm household income.Theeffects of human capital,physical capital and social capital on the income of farmhouseholds at different quartiles were investigated by establishing quantile regressionmodels.The results of the study showed that the age,health status,and political affiliationof the household head,as well as the amount of human capital,had a greater effect on theincome of lower-income farming households;the physical capital,social capital,andborrowing of the household had a greater effect on the income of middle-income andhigher-income farming households,especially the middle-income households.Finally,by studying the factors influencing the household income of Yanggu County,we propose corresponding countermeasures for Yanggu County to improve the overallincome level and increase the income of its farming households,such as improving therural education system,promoting the construction of rural infrastructure,facilitating theemployment and